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02 Jun 2024

Opinion poll & Exit poll



Published on 02 Jun 2024

Tags:
Polity

Keywords:
ELECTIONS RPA POLL

Opinion poll & Exit poll


Category

Opinion Poll

Exit Poll

Definition

These are conducted well before the election to gauge public voting intentions and preferences.

Exit Poll to be a survey that is conducted based on a set of questions that are asked to voters exiting the polling stations after casting their vote.


Time of survey 

It is a pre-election poll

It is a post-election poll

Who participates in the survey?

People or voters who may or may not vote

People or voters who have voted

What are the limitations?

  • Voters may change their opinions after expressing them. Voting intentions are volatile.

  • People might lie. It is not considered accurate.

  • In the poll, non-registered voters may also be included.

 

  • It reveals the political mood of the nation but there have been various instances when exit polls predictions turned out to be wrong. 

  • People might lie. 


  • Regulatory frameworks 

    • Opinion polls are barred from being published in ‘electronic media’ for 48 hours prior to an election in that polling area under Section 126 of the RP Act, 1951. There is no such ban for print media.

    • The RP Act, 1951, under Section 126, stipulates that exit polls cannot be conducted or disseminated until the final phase of voting concludes.

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